Four has become an under-the-radar key number in NFL betting in recent years, especially since the league moved the PAT further back. From a handicapping standpoint, the 4-point spread has become a “Bermuda Triangle” of betting: favorites win but don’t cover.

I’m giving two picks for each game: One is which team I predict to win outright, the other is which team I predict will cover the point spread. Each pick has a confidence level of 1-10, with 10 being the most confident. For more information on the pick methodology, check out the Week 1 edition of this series.

NFL playoff picks, predictions for divisional games: Bills knock out Broncos, Rams end Bears' dream season originally appeared on The Sporting News. Add The Sporting News as a Preferred Source by clicking here. There are two home underdogs in the NFL divisional playoff round – including the No. 1 seed in the AFC.

The AFC Divisional Round of the playoffs open Saturday afternoon in Denver when Sean Payton and the Broncos take the field as a slight favorite against Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills. For a time, the Bills were favored over the top seed in the AFC, but the line is back to where it opened with Bo Nix and co. favored by 1.5 points.