The gambler, the quantum physicist and the juror all reason about probabilities: the probability of winning, of a radioactive atom decaying, of a defendant’s guilt. But despite their ubiquity, experts ...

Computer-based probabilistic models that are used to interpret verbal autopsy data -- information from interviews with family, friends and carers about deaths that are later interpreted into possible ...

The design and construction of capital projects can be extremely complex. Uncertainty and risk add to this complexity and, as a result, many projects experience significant cost overruns and schedule ...

Probabilistic timing analysis represents an emergent paradigm in the evaluation of real-time systems, addressing inherent uncertainties that traditional worst-case execution time (WCET) methods ...

The double-slit experiment is one of the more well-known experiments in physics history. First proposed by early 19th century physicist Thomas Young, this experiment is delightfully simple in its ...

Prediction markets have moved from a niche academic concept into one of the fastest-growing areas of modern market infrastructure. Once confined to election forecasting and small experimental ...

When we graduate from college or graduate school with a degree in physics, we are required to sign an oath that if we ever get cats, at least one of them must be named Schrodinger. Even physicist ...

Learn to address the likelihood of structural failure. Perform risk analysis associated with environmental loads to structures under static and dynamic loadings. Master the basics of performance-based ...

Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...